Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Revisiting the Andrew Cashner-Anthony Rizzo Trade

Pitcher A: 16.7% of team's wins were his, 2.67 ERA, 141 k's in 171 innings
Salary: 19 million dollars

Pitcher B: 13.3% of team's wins were his, 3.09 ERA, 128 k's in 175 innings
Salary: 480 thousand dollars

Pitcher C: 15.7% of team's wins were his, 3.23 ERA, 180 k's in 203 innings
Salary: 4.25 million dollars

Pitcher D: 9.3% of team's wins were his, 3.43 ERA, 139 k's in 170 innings
Salary: 10.1 million dollars

Which pitcher would you rather have? The answers to who is who will be down below.

Pitcher A: Zack Grienke
Pitcher B: Andrew Cashner
Pitcher C: Mat Latos
Pitcher D: David Price

Andrew Cashner
On January 6th, 2012, the San Diego Padres traded first baseman Anthony Rizzo to the Cubs in exchange for pitcher Andrew Cashner. The trade was widely viewed as one of the worst trades in Padres history, and it only got worse after Cashner spent most of the season on the disabled list. He finished with a 4.27 ERA in 33 games (5 starts). Rizzo rubbed salt in the wounds of Padres fans as he hit .285 with 15 home runs in a year where the Padres hit .247 as a team. In the next offseason, the Cubs signed their rising star Rizzo to a 8 year extension, while Cashner lacerated a tendon in his finger after slicing his finger while trying to skin a dear. He missed the first several weeks of the season. 

After some mechanical fixes and a conversion of his "knuckle-slider" to a traditional slider, Cashner came back with a vengeance. In 26 starts (and 5 relief appearances), Cashner tossed 175 innings, securing 10 wins and a 3.09 ERA. Excluding those 5 relief appearances, his ERA drops to 3.04. He was one hit away from a perfect game earlier in the season, and still has one start to go.

On the other hand, Anthony Rizzo is hitting .230 with 22 home runs in a very hitter friendly field in Chicago. 

Both players' numbers are inflated by their home parks, as Cashner has a 1.95 ERA at home and a 4.00 ERA on the road (and an almost perfect game on the road) while Rizzo is hitting .247 at home with 13 home runs, while only hitting .213 with 9 home runs away from Chicago. 

The verdict is still out on the deal, as both pieces have had their ups and downs with their new teams, but the deal is not as uneven as it once looked. 

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