Sunday, December 30, 2012

A Case For the Padres to Acquire Giancarlo Stanton

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Giancarlo Stanton is a 23-year old slugger with almost 100 career home runs to his name. A career .270 average and .350 on base percentage that improves every year and his first all star appearance headline a budding star's list of accomplishments. If he keeps this up for the next 15-20 seasons, you are looking at HOF numbers. Today the rumor surfaced that the Marlins were not shopping their star, but were listening to offers. Remember what the Marlins did just a few months ago and how Stanton reacted. You can expect something to happen if the Marlins get an offer they like. Here is my case for the Padres to go out and acquire him.

The Trade:

Padres Acquire:
RHP Henderson Alvarez
OF Giancarlo Stanton

Marlins Acquire:
OF Rymer Liriano
C Yasmani Grandal
RHP Adys Portillo
2B Cory Spangenberg
1B Tommy Medica
RHP Joe Ross
RHP Burch Smith

This is certainly an outrageous idea, considering there is a chance that the Marlins don't even want to deal Stanton in the first place.

This trade works well for both sides in the long run, and is enough to intrigue. The deal opens up a spot at catcher long term for top prospect Austin Hedges, and brings in one of the games top hitters. Spangenberg is hopefully blocked by Jedd Gyorko and we have quite a bit of young pitching to go around.

Henderson Alvarez would satisfy the need of another starting pitcher, and Stanton puts us in the thick of things in the NL West. Don't forget that this type of splash would bring many to a ballpark and convert skeptics into believers. A move like this puts the O'Malley's in a position to draw fans in and solidify a fan base. Giancarlo Stanton rivals Josh Hamilton and Zach Grienke in caliber, and has potential to provide a bigger impact.

Projected Padres Lineup with Hypothetical Trade:
SS Everth Cabrera
2B Jedd Gyorko
3B Chase Headley
RF Giancarlo Stanton
LF Carlos Quentin
1B Yonder Alonso
CF Cameron Maybin
C Nick Hundley

The deal gives you a very strong 2-5, and with protection, park walls moved in, and a winning atmosphere, the deal opens up a window for Headley to add on to his MVP caliber campaign of last season, and Stanton to add to his resume. This could be one of the better Padre offenses ever. The deal also brings in a young, quality starter in Henderson Alvarez, which saves enough money to potentially sign Headley long term.

Here is the Marlins side of the deal. They acquire an excellent outfielder to replace Stanton in 2014, and receive their catcher of the future. The Marlins certainly are not going "all-in" next season and can afford to wait for Yasmani Grandal to return and Rymer Liriano to develop. This could easily be a very good core to a Marlins team for years to come. The other prospects in the hypothetical trade include RHP's Adys Portillo and Joe Ross. Adys Portillo was a "bonus baby" out of the Dominican Republic a while back, and has finally figured out his groove. He lead the Midwestern League in ERA until being promoted. Ross is a safer gamble, the 19-year old righty pitched in 15 games this season, and finished the season with a k/9 ratio of 9.2. 

Cory Spangenberg was the 10th overall selection in the 2011 draft, and has had success in the minor leagues (excluding a concussion) ever since. He has hit .290 with a .365 on base percentage and 52 stolen bases over his 2 year minor league career. Cory could end up a very solid lead off or 2-hole hitter in the near future.

Burch Smith and Tommy Medica both had major break out seasons at Lake Elsinore, with Smith going 9-6 with a 3.85 ERA and Medica hitting .330 with 19 home runs in 355 at bats. The duo have pushed up top prospect lists very quickly.

As you look at the guys who have the prospects and the need, you see the Rangers, Padres, Rays and Cardinals at the top of the list.

The Rays are not likely to make the splash, due to money concerns and Wil Myers and the Cardinals may wait until David Price.

The other potential suitor is Texas, who missed out in the Justin Upton sweepstakes (who is staying put presumably), would likely have interest. The irony is, the centerpiece they could offer (Jurickson Profar) is at the one position the Marlins have a viable major league player to hold down the pitching (Adeiny Hechavarria), but could still pose a threat. If the Rangers wanted to move SS Jurickson Profar, they would have been better off trading for OF Justin Upton by using Profar. (Which they reportedly did not want to do).

I would not be surprised (I would be estatic!) if Stanton was traded to the Padres, but I also wouldn't be surprised if he went elsewhere. Fans everywhere (and GMs!) want Giancarlo Stanton on their team, but only some have the farm and the need to make it happen. Remember, this is all one big "if" assuming the Marlins are even considering trading their star in the making.

4 comments:

  1. I would get season tickets if this was our lineup (and I'm unemployed!). Seriously, I like how you didn't include Gyorko in the trade... my sentiments exactly, though I prefer Forsythe to Cabrera. I'd even be willing to take on the Nolasco contract if they preferred that to Alvarez.

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  2. I can't see a better offer out there unless the Rangers open up Profar, Olt, and Perez in one deal.

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  3. Wow! ..you sure would get the Marlins attention with that kind of offer.

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  4. That is simply not a good offer. There's no way this offer would even be taken seriously.

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